The population forecast for New South Wales & the ACT

This webinar was presented live on February 19th 2024.


Join us as we present our latest forecasts of population, housing and residential development for each region of New South Wales and the ACT.

What are the hotspots for future growth in each region?
 

What share of Australia's growth will go to each region over the next 25 years?

✔ What are the demographic drivers of population change in each region?

✔ How do planned development and zoning capacities influence the housing and population outlook?

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If you weren't able to attend our live presentation, register here to watch the full recording, including a Q&A with our forecasters, on demand.

The big stories we explore in this webinar

Join us and put your questions to our experts as we share our forecasts for each region, how they compare to current state and federal government projections, and discuss some of the big stories that have come out of our recent analysis;

1. After the disruption of the pandemic, we're seeing a return to regular programming in the demographic patterns that shape growth in New South Wales.

2. While population growth has bounced back after lockdowns and border closures, dwelling construction continues to be a constraint to growth, with implications for average household size and the timing of forecast growth.

3. The sustained growth forecast for Western Sydney as opportunities for development in the east dry up

4. How the Western Sydney Airport and rail infrastructure are forecast to impact the distribution of population growth

Read the full recap on our blog

The presentation slides

Scroll through the slides from the presentation.

Webinar presentation | The forecast for NSW and the ACT by the Forecasting team at .id (informed decisions)

The recap

Watch a short recap of the key points from the presentation.

 

Prepared and presented by experts from Australia's largest independent population forecasting team.

Johnny Barnard

Johnny Barnard

Principal forecaster

Johnny is a population forecaster and spatial consultant with an extraordinary knowledge of places across Australia. He has been analysing Australia’s urban changes since the late 1980s. This knowledge is now being used to inform .id’s view on population change in the post-Covid world.

Richard Thornton

Richard Thornton

Population forecaster

Richard has been a forecaster with .id for over 15 years, so brings a deep knowledge of places across Australia to our work. With a background in urban planning, regeneration and social housing, Richard previously worked in the housing sector in the UK and for the Victorian Government, and he regularly presents on the policy implications and challenges of demographic change for a variety of audiences.

Andrew Hedge

Andrew Hedge

Content and communications

With a background in marketing and communications, Andrew shares the analysis, insights and stories of place uncovered by our forecasters as they undertake detailed research into what's driving population change in each region of Australia.

sally

Sally Blandy

Location strategy consultant

Sally specialises in providing strategic advice based on demographic evidence across a range of industries including utilities, property, education and local government.

Katie King

Katie King

Location strategy consultant

Building on years of experience in GIS analysis and product development, Katie works closely with our private sector clients in industries ranging from Education to Utilities and emergency services to help them use the insights from our forecasting team to make informed location and investment decisions.

Brian-Moran-3

Brian Moran

Location strategy consultant

A passionate and curious strategist, Brian’s strength is applying strategic thinking to develop a deep understanding of the needs of our clients, as they try to make decisions about location and investment when planning for the future. Brian’s background is in consulting, strategy, and technology, helping businesses across a range of industries to explore opportunities and mitigate risk using data and insight.