Report | New research

How high-density development is reshaping retail catchments

As governments push for Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) to address housing shortages, retail precincts across Brisbane, Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, and Perth are set for a dramatic transformation.

Over the next ten years, high-density growth will change who lives in these areas, how they shop, and what retail experiences they expect.

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Learn how population and housing trends are redefining retail growth and location strategy.

How high density developmetn is reshaping retail catchments preview (600 x 600 px) (1)

 

Five precincts, five different impacts

We share case studies from Macquarie Park (NSW), Footscray (VIC), Woolloongabba (QLD), Burswood (WA), and Bowden (SA) to show how transit-oriented development is forecast to reshape retail catchments—each in its own way. These examples illustrate how rising densities, shifting demographics, and government planning priorities can impact customer profiles, retail formats, and the viability of new developments. The report helps you understand not just where growth is expected, but how it will affect retail demand on the ground.

Transit oriented development - Case studies (600 x 600 px)

 

See how growth will unfold - street by street

The forecasts in this report are backed by detailed analysis of planned development—tracking everything from completed housing to sites under construction, in marketing, approved, or with long-term potential. By understanding the sequence and status of development in each area, the forecasts reflect not just where growth could happen, but when it's likely to occur.

Development sequencing

 

How public transport shapes 20-minute catchments

This report explores who falls within 20 minutes of five key retail locations—whether on foot or via public transport. It combines population forecasts and demographic insights to show who’s nearby now, how public transport expands the catchment, and where growth is forecast—particularly around transit hubs where policy supports future development.

TOD Woolloongabba

 

IR Report Macquarie Park Sample

 

Who's moving in - and what that means for retail

Discover how population growth and changing demographics in key precincts like Macquarie Park will reshape retail demand. The report highlights who’s moving in, how they differ from the wider metro population, and what that means for the future of local retail.

How higher-density development will chnage your retail catchment

This report combines .id's expertise in demographics, economics, forecasting and social research to reveal the unique needs of each community.

Development Pipeline

Development pipeline

Where and when will new housing be delivered—and how does that shape future growth?

Retail TOD (2)-1

Population forecasts

How many people are expected to live in the area? How quickly will that change, and who’s moving in?

Retail TOD (3)

Demographic change

What types of households are forming? How are age, income, and origin shifting the customer base?

Retail TOD (4)

Local economies 

Who works here? What do incomes and occupations say about spending power and economic resilience?

Get the full picture on how growth will reshape retail catchments

Download the full report to explore where high-density development is happening, who it’s bringing in, and what it means for local retail. Backed by independent forecasts and deep analysis, it’s the insight you need to plan with confidence.

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